Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Automation game?

Automation + Aliens

Only 17 developers shipped an Alien Automation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Xenopurge, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×250 the market median. Revenue is up 615% on the market; 36 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 615% on the market, 36 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $18k → $150 → $898 (still earning) → $341 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 5% $157k (exactly $156,999)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 50
Announced 36
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 615% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Procedural Generation, Strategy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 557 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Planet Crafter older $23.99 68,855 96% 2.1M $50M (exactly $49,554,944) Miju Games
Infinifactory older $24.99 1,790 95% 54k $1.3M (exactly $1,341,963) Zachtronics
No Creeps Were Harmed TD older $19.99 468 88% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) MinMax Games Ltd.
Xenopurge $12.49 419 84% 13k $157k (exactly $156,999) Traptics
Kitchen Crisis older $14.99 311 74% 9.3k $140k (exactly $139,857) Team Samoyed
PRODUCER 2021 older $9.99 164 100% 4.9k $49k (exactly $49,151) Stuffed Wombat, ThorHighHeels
Femdemic - An Idle World Feminization Game older $14.99 64 53% 1.9k $29k (exactly $28,781) Rel.Pink
Trappist older $14.99 63 88% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,331) Sirrah
Minicology older $14.99 53 64% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Isaac Denner
Project Astra Dominium older $9.99 69 88% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,679) Snob Entertainment UG
Rebots $14.99 41 70% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) FlatPonies
Terraforming Titans $5.00 58 94% 1.7k $8.7k (exactly $8,700) terraforming.titans
Mycelium Conquest $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) YCF Productions
Disaster Blaster $9.99 9 88% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Jarsick
Alien Battlefield $9.99 4 0% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) TapfunGame
UNIT 42: Adrift in Space · EA $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) AwitaGames
Starshot Idle $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) jake o'reilly
Irradiate 235 · EA $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Team Boulder Games
Odyssée Stellaire $5.99 2 0% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Exe.ye Loading

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.