Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Tactical game?

Tactical + Agriculture

Only 15 developers shipped an Agriculture Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mamon King, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×374 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 9 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 9 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $897 → $2.7k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $45 (exactly $45)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,187)
Top 5% $235k (exactly $234,989)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 29
Announced 9
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Agriculture
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,061 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $720, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mamon King $12.99 603 90% 18k $235k (exactly $234,989) LiTMUS Co., Ltd.
Rise of Industry 2 $34.99 154 55% 4.6k $162k (exactly $161,654) SomaSim
Cascadia $14.99 210 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Dire Wolf
Shrot older $6.99 109 89% 3.3k $23k (exactly $22,857) Spytihněv
太平洋之嵐6 ~ 史上最大的激戰諾曼第攻防戰! Pacific Storm 6 - Battle for Normandy older $24.99 18 27% 540 $13k (exactly $13,495) SystemSoft Alpha Cooperation
The people of Sea, Sun & Salt $9.99 44 100% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Emerick Gibson
Tile Tale older $4.99 35 62% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Sokpop Collective
Combine 2 Pumpkins $4.99 19 100% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) 2Z
Fruits Vs Veggies $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Ishbull Studios
GILTSTEADER - Tower Defense older $5.99 15 66% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Lessermore
NecroFarm $2.99 10 60% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Podigi Games
Smoke Shop Simulator · EA $3.99 6 0% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Anka Games
Oceanic Rails · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Extrinc Studios
保卫粮食 Grain Defense $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) 放马过去

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.