Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Automation game?

Automation + Agriculture

Of 53 developers who shipped an Agriculture Automation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 88 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×462 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 88 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 88 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 53
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $734 → $27k → $36k → $2.2k → $1.4k → $2.4k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 53
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,242)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $8,991)
Top 5% $290k (exactly $290,056)
Developers, 2 yr 53
Released games 94
Announced 88
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 210% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, Agriculture; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Farming Sim, Resource Management
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 5,823 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 6 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 88 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Captain of Industry · EA older $34.99 11,027 90% 331k $12M (exactly $11,575,042) MaFi Games
Stationeers · EA older $34.99 8,597 88% 258k $9.0M (exactly $9,024,271) RocketWerkz
Automation Empire older $29.99 2,584 65% 78k $2.3M (exactly $2,324,825) DOG HOGGLER
Autonauts older $19.99 3,596 90% 108k $2.2M (exactly $2,156,521) Denki
Havendock $19.99 1,504 81% 45k $902k (exactly $901,949) YYZ Studio
Blossom: The Seed of Life $16.99 1,011 88% 30k $515k (exactly $515,307) Pebbledust Games
Plantera older $2.99 4,518 88% 136k $405k (exactly $405,265) VaragtP
The Signal State older $19.99 649 86% 19k $389k (exactly $389,205) Reckoner Industries
The Magical Mixture Mill older $19.99 550 82% 17k $330k (exactly $329,835) Glowlight
Farm to Table · EA $14.99 645 91% 19k $290k (exactly $290,056) indieGiant
Your Big, Cute Monster Farm $7.99 1,097 78% 33k $263k (exactly $262,951) KaiPlay Studio
Ritual of Raven $14.99 325 88% 9.8k $146k (exactly $146,152) Spellgarden Games
MR FARMBOY $9.99 480 85% 14k $144k (exactly $143,856) mrdboy
Ranch Farm and Store Simulator $12.99 252 84% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bewolba Studios
ACRES $14.99 210 80% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Jimi Games
Sloppy Fields · EA $9.79 201 95% 6.0k $59k (exactly $59,034) PixelPanzone
Farm Factory Simulator · EA $12.99 98 93% 2.9k $38k (exactly $38,191) Bewolba Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.