Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Adventure Tank game?

Tanks + Adventure

Of 20 developers who shipped an Adventure Tank game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $400 in the last 2 years and $410 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 685% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $3.1k → $3.7k → $402 → $30 → $898 → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tanks + Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $402 (exactly $402)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,279)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,082,806)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 109
Announced 28
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 685% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Adventure; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Tactical, Survival
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Violent, 3D, Cinematic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 17,253 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $400, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Company of Heroes 2 older $19.99 68,909 80% 2.1M $41M (exactly $41,324,727) Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 older $29.99 35,744 91% 1.1M $32M (exactly $32,158,877) Digitalmindsoft
Call of Duty: World at War older $19.99 45,792 92% 1.4M $27M (exactly $27,461,462) Treyarch
METAL GEAR SOLID Δ: SNAKE EATER $49.99 13,554 82% 407k $20M (exactly $20,326,934) KONAMI
Tank Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 8,792 87% 264k $5.3M (exactly $5,272,562) DeGenerals S.A.
Total Tank Simulator older $19.99 7,582 81% 227k $4.5M (exactly $4,546,925) Noobz from Poland
METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version older $19.99 5,403 89% 162k $3.2M (exactly $3,240,179) KONAMI
METAL GEAR SOLID - Master Collection Version older $19.99 4,283 84% 128k $2.6M (exactly $2,568,515) KONAMI
METAL GEAR SOLID 2: Sons of Liberty - Master Collection Version older $19.99 3,493 89% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,094,752) KONAMI
METAL GEAR SOLID 4: Guns of the Patriots - Master Collection Version $29.99 2,315 96% 69k $2.1M (exactly $2,082,806) KONAMI
METAL GEAR SOLID: Peace Walker - Master Collection Version $19.99 925 79% 28k $555k (exactly $554,722) KONAMI
METAL GEAR SOLID: MASTER COLLECTION Vol.2 $49.99 49 65% 1.5k $73k (exactly $73,485) KONAMI
Thunder Tank: Iron Shield $3.99 221 82% 6.6k $26k (exactly $26,454) Crazy Studio
My Waifu Is A Tank Girl! 💕 $2.99 161 80% 4.8k $14k (exactly $14,442) Neko Cloud
Tactics of World War I $8.99 12 58% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Headless Horseman Games
Oath of Steel $18.99 4 0% 120 $2.3k (exactly $2,279) Ling Jun
Tankiro $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Rmonak
Griffin 「グリフォン」 $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Ratalaika Games S.L., Shinyuden

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.