Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Action RTS?

Action RTS + Procedural Generation

Of 22 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Action RTS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×7.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×408 the market median. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 51 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 180% on the market, 51 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $40k → $3.0k → $23k → $16k → $7.2k → $35k (still earning) → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RTS + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $11k (exactly $11,242)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $35,251)
Top 5% $610k (exactly $610,495)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 46
Announced 51
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS, Procedural Generation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RTS, Strategy, Base Building
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 5,107 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  11. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds19 devs · median $7.2k · 35 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gord older $49.99 809 53% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,213,257) Covenant.dev
EverSiege: Untold Ages $19.99 1,906 68% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,143,028) Tindalos Interactive
From Glory To Goo · EA older $11.99 1,794 96% 54k $645k (exactly $645,302) Stratagem Blue
Rogue Command $19.99 1,018 89% 31k $610k (exactly $610,495) feneq
Tower Factory · EA $14.99 1,220 89% 37k $549k (exactly $548,634) Gius Caminiti
Darfall $24.99 491 71% 15k $368k (exactly $368,103) SquareNite
Mud and Blood · EA older $12.99 861 87% 26k $336k (exactly $335,532) urbgames
Street Lords older $14.99 115 57% 3.5k $52k (exactly $51,716) Studio HK
Hexworld · EA older $14.99 89 78% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Volcanic Giraffe
Deep Among the Swarm $8.99 132 85% 4.0k $36k (exactly $35,600) Pebble Mountain Games
Signal Zone $11.99 98 76% 2.9k $35k (exactly $35,251) Norafox Studio
Eufloria Classic $7.99 104 73% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,929) Omni Systems
Stardust Exile $14.99 44 70% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,787) Apseren
MIGLORN $9.99 54 68% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) WuzzyWizard
Flow Of War $12.99 40 85% 1.2k $16k (exactly $15,588) Rongcon Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.