Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Third-Person Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action RTS Third-Person Shooter?

Action RTS + Third-Person Shooter

Only 9 developers shipped an Action RTS Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, REMATCH, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $180 against a market of $1.5k. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 22 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Third-Person Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action RTS + Third-Person Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $36M (exactly $35,902,528)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 30
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS, Third-Person Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 43,825 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $35M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Home Wars older $9.99 1,141 78% 34k $342k (exactly $341,958) Insane Dreamers
Attack on Toys · EA older $6.99 1,158 93% 35k $243k (exactly $242,833) N7T-GAMES
Command & Conquer Renegade™ older $6.96 851 83% 26k $178k (exactly $177,689) Westwood Studios
VOIDCRISIS older $29.99 122 54% 3.7k $110k (exactly $109,763) HEXADRIVE Inc.
Timemelters older $19.99 152 92% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Autoexec Games
Prime & Load : 1776 older $7.99 313 76% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,026) Radio Silence Entertainment
WARSHIFT 2 $19.99 54 70% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Cyril Megem
Daggan older $9.99 97 79% 2.9k $29k (exactly $29,071) Malerouille
X-POINT · EA older $19.99 32 78% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Andrey Scanarri (Scanarri)
Relictor · EA $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) AIMTeam
Domefender $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) StuffInChest
Drone:Modern Warfare $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AndyKwok008
hotland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) AdamasZ
TechWorld $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) KTGAMES
Insect Control $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) iwanosaki
They Are Thousands $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SNT Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.