Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG Action RTS?

Action RTS + Tactical RPG

Only 14 developers shipped a Tactical RPG Action RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, PATAPON 1+2 REPLAY, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×6.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×1.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.8M, ×1256 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 37 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 37 announced, ×6.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $25k → $1.2k → $1.7k → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RTS + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,090)
Top 5% $1.9M (exactly $1,881,273)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 48
Announced 37
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS, Tactical RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,710 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $1.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PATAPON 1+2 REPLAY $29.99 2,091 83% 63k $1.9M (exactly $1,881,273) SAS CO.,LTD.
Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防 older $18.99 948 90% 28k $540k (exactly $540,076) MyACG Studio
Philna Fantasy $14.99 477 52% 14k $215k (exactly $214,507) Sailike Game
Multiwinia older $11.99 409 82% 12k $147k (exactly $147,117) Introversion Software
Prime & Load : 1776 older $7.99 313 76% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,026) Radio Silence Entertainment
Ancient Wars: Medieval Crusades · EA older $19.99 90 82% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
Zombie Party 丧尸派对 older $5.99 140 77% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) Joychasing Games
Scarecropia $9.99 42 88% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) JYP Studio
Avalon Lords: Dawn Rises · EA older $9.99 19 47% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Animus Interactive Inc
Sunstone War $4.99 34 97% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) Blukulélé, Cyrolis Dev
Warlordocracy $4.99 27 96% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Sof… (Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Software)
Cats Away $29.99 4 75% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) Studio Saizensen
TransmuTowers $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Edenic Era LLC
Hired Stars · EA $19.99 3 66% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Mark Kaps
Traveler Of Light · EA $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) ZENG CHEN
Take off a mask · EA $4.99 11 54% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Inner Flower Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.