Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an RPG Action RTS?

Action RTS + RPG

Of 58 developers who shipped an RPG Action RTS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 112 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 112 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 460% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 460% on the market, 112 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $539 → $1.8k → $897 → $150 → $150 → $1.5k (still earning) → $772k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RTS + RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,497)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,392,852)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 187
Announced 112
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 460% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS, RPG; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action RPG, Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 28,303 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. Nearly all of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 112 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
STAR WARS Zero Company™ $49.99 19,521 82% 586k $29M (exactly $29,275,644) Bit Reactor
下一站江湖Ⅱ older $24.99 8,507 72% 255k $6.4M (exactly $6,377,698) 白玉京工作室
Xenonauts 2 $39.99 4,853 81% 146k $5.8M (exactly $5,822,144) Goldhawk Interactive
ZeroSpace · EA $39.99 1,161 78% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,392,852) Starlance Studios, Ironward
The Lost Village older $11.99 2,743 70% 82k $987k (exactly $986,657) FunYoo Games
SpellForce 3 Fallen God older $19.99 1,335 86% 40k $801k (exactly $800,599) Grimlore Games
Warhounds $34.99 735 71% 22k $772k (exactly $771,530) Everplay DMCC
Godsworn · EA older $29.99 805 93% 24k $724k (exactly $724,258) Thunderoak Interactive
From Glory To Goo · EA older $11.99 1,794 96% 54k $645k (exactly $645,302) Stratagem Blue
Waifu Fighter older $7.99 2,677 86% 80k $642k (exactly $641,677) Happy Monster Studio
Darfall $24.99 491 71% 15k $368k (exactly $368,103) SquareNite
Machine Mind $19.99 567 71% 17k $340k (exactly $340,030) Chudo-Yudo Games
Philna Fantasy $14.99 477 52% 14k $215k (exactly $214,507) Sailike Game
永生之庭 $7.99 284 48% 8.5k $68k (exactly $68,075) IMaiIna
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
DeTechtive 2112 $10.99 60 46% 1.8k $20k (exactly $19,782) M11 Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.