Do I ship it?

Games › Action RTS › Action RTS + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Action RTS?

Action RTS + Mythology

Only 10 developers shipped a Mythological Action RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Twelves:Shadow, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.2k against a market of $1.5k. 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 23 announced, ×12 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $896 → $539 → $119
Outcomes for Action RTS + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,153)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $60,014)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 26
Announced 23
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 51% positive over 235 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Age of Mythology: Retold 2024 · $19M Gord 2023 · $1.2M Godsworn 2024 · EA · $724k Twelves:Shadow 2025 · $60k Sunstone War 2024 · $5.1k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Age of Mythology: Retold older $29.99 20,943 90% 628k $19M (exactly $18,842,417) World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Tantal… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Tantalus Media, CaptureAge, Virtuos Games)
Gord older $49.99 809 53% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,213,257) Covenant.dev
Godsworn · EA older $29.99 805 93% 24k $724k (exactly $724,258) Thunderoak Interactive
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
Sunstone War $4.99 34 97% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) Blukulélé, Cyrolis Dev
Goddess Scroll - The Last Starlight $9.99 11 27% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Revenge Red Eyes
Skeleton Scramble Deluxe older $2.99 29 96% 870 $2.6k (exactly $2,601) Chris Turd Boomerang Armstrong
Valdrax Beyond the Rift · EA $12.99 6 83% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Ganea Ion
Classic Tower Defense 2 $2.99 24 95% 720 $2.2k (exactly $2,153) Blacksmith Forge
修真九要 · EA older $5.99 6 83% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) 剑仙工作室
This sect accepts female disciples only $8.99 2 50% 60 $539 (exactly $539) sln
Ulia Chronicles $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) NioStudio
Olympus of the Heavens · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Kubrick
The Queen Riding Insects $1.99 2 0% 60 $119 (exactly $119) liu gao
WORLDS: The Great Odyssey $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Pleroma Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.