Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Action RTS?

Action RTS + Futuristic

Of 34 developers who shipped a Futuristic Action RTS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 68 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper, while revenue is down 70% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 68 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $1.0k → $599 → $17k → $150 → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RTS + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,635)
Top 5% $12M (exactly $11,770,257)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 84
Announced 68
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RTS, Base Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 51,064 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $11M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Tempest Rising $39.99 9,811 87% 294k $12M (exactly $11,770,257) Slipgate Ironworks™
Command & Conquer 3 Tiberium Wars™ older $6.96 8,777 89% 263k $1.8M (exactly $1,832,638) EA Los Angeles
Rogue Command $19.99 1,018 89% 31k $610k (exactly $610,495) feneq
No Creeps Were Harmed TD older $19.99 468 88% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) MinMax Games Ltd.
Artificial Extinction 2 $19.99 113 77% 3.4k $68k (exactly $67,766) 100Hr Games Inc
IRON GUARD older $14.99 141 95% 4.2k $63k (exactly $63,408) Xlab Digital
AirMech Command older $7.99 188 68% 5.6k $45k (exactly $45,064) Carbon Games
PERIMETER: Legate Edition older $9.99 143 92% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,857) K-D Lab
Eternal Starlight VR older $14.99 69 89% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) White Noise Games
DeTechtive 2112 $10.99 60 46% 1.8k $20k (exactly $19,782) M11 Studio
Endeavor: Rite of Passage · EA $19.99 32 84% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Endeavor
WarOS · EA $19.99 29 72% 870 $17k (exactly $17,391) The7 Studio
2089 - Space Divided $17.99 28 75% 840 $15k (exactly $15,112) CoastGames GmbH
Bullet: Surge $15.99 18 94% 540 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Cerbere Games
Periphery Online $4.99 50 72% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) Aleksandr Nagaev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.