Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Action RTS?

Action RTS + Female Protagonist

Only 15 developers shipped a Female-Led Action RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Antivirus Girl, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $40k, ×27 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 22 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.6k → $3.6k → $594 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RTS + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $594 (exactly $594)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,435)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,599)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $40,509)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 34
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 264 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $40k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Waifu Fighter older $7.99 2,677 86% 80k $642k (exactly $641,677) Happy Monster Studio
Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防 older $18.99 948 90% 28k $540k (exactly $540,076) MyACG Studio
Stargate: Timekeepers older $29.99 198 60% 5.9k $178k (exactly $178,141) Slitherine Ltd.
Smelter older $19.99 165 64% 5.0k $99k (exactly $98,950) X PLUS Co., Ltd.
Timemelters older $19.99 152 92% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Autoexec Games
Antivirus Girl $7.99 169 88% 5.1k $41k (exactly $40,509) Chowbie
erozld older $14.99 61 50% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) 88Danuki
Bullet: Surge $15.99 18 94% 540 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Cerbere Games
Foresia -The Lust Curse- $14.99 15 33% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) BlusterD
Paintings Thief older $5.99 33 33% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) madsug
Cats Away $29.99 4 75% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) Studio Saizensen
Goddess Scroll - The Last Starlight $9.99 11 27% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Revenge Red Eyes
Notice Me Leena-senpai! $7.99 11 81% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Yanako RPGs, GameDevTosh
REBELLION PRINCESS|リベリオン プリンセス $5.99 11 81% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) テイク
Witch Way $2.99 16 81% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) e-sheep
我的修仙世界My Xiuxian World $16.99 2 50% 60 $1.0k (exactly $1,019) CUI PU XING
Street grabbing of territory $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Southern Vermilion Bird

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.