Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Action RTS?

Action RTS + Card Game

Only 12 developers shipped a Card Game Action RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Warlords Under Siege, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper, while revenue is down 85% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $0 → $269 → $269 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RTS + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,587)
Top 5% $131k (exactly $130,669)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 27
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS, Card Game
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 77% positive over 803 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $630, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WARCANA older $16.99 443 62% 13k $226k (exactly $225,797) 1000 Orks
Warlords Under Siege $9.99 436 77% 13k $131k (exactly $130,669) RedKar Devs
Forest Heroes $9.99 278 83% 8.3k $83k (exactly $83,317) Hoochoo Game Studios
Warena $9.99 42 52% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Part Time Monkey
Tactics Greed older $9.99 24 95% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Browser Land
Grow Empire: Rome $3.99 28 64% 840 $3.4k (exactly $3,352) Games Station
Insectum - Epic Battles of Bugs $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) DevilishGames, Famosa by Giochi Preziosi
Kingslayer: The First Assassin older $0.99 37 100% 1.1k $1.1k (exactly $1,099) Old School Vibes
Landmark Battle · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Poetic Games
Starshield $2.99 3 33% 90 $269 (exactly $269) IBELF Studios
Loop Firefighters $2.99 3 33% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Darius games
Seekers of Darkness older $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) BakoApps, Feynman System Co., Ltd
Paper Mages $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Gently Giant LLC
Hapless $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Zhang Huiqin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.