Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Adventure Action RTS?

Action RTS + Adventure

Of 57 developers who shipped an Adventure Action RTS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 89 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $410, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 89 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 35% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 89 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 57
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $659 → $1.1k → $419 → $1.5k → $239 → $405 (still earning) → $898 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RTS + Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 57
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $405 (exactly $405)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,960)
Top 5% $215k (exactly $214,507)
Developers, 2 yr 57
Released games 169
Announced 89
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS, Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Action RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 2,687 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $410, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. Nearly all of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gord older $49.99 809 53% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,213,257) Covenant.dev
Kingdom Eighties older $11.99 3,001 75% 90k $1.1M (exactly $1,079,460) Fury Studios
The Lost Village older $11.99 2,743 70% 82k $987k (exactly $986,657) FunYoo Games
Machine Mind $19.99 567 71% 17k $340k (exactly $340,030) Chudo-Yudo Games
Mud and Blood · EA older $12.99 861 87% 26k $336k (exactly $335,532) urbgames
Rise of Piracy · EA $15.99 520 77% 16k $249k (exactly $249,444) IrishJohnGames
Undead Horde 2: Necropolis older $16.99 447 83% 13k $228k (exactly $227,836) 10tons Ltd
Philna Fantasy $14.99 477 52% 14k $215k (exactly $214,507) Sailike Game
Warlords Battleground: Extraction $11.99 525 84% 16k $189k (exactly $188,842) 绝汪
Stargate: Timekeepers older $29.99 198 60% 5.9k $178k (exactly $178,141) Slitherine Ltd.
Spirit X Strike · EA $12.99 406 82% 12k $158k (exactly $158,218) MAICHA STUDIO
Siren's Well $24.99 62 66% 1.9k $46k (exactly $46,481) OneManOnly Studios
DeTechtive 2112 $10.99 60 46% 1.8k $20k (exactly $19,782) M11 Studio
Deadrock Salvation $9.99 38 86% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Ghost Machine
Spires of Morosith: Gossamer Sundered $14.99 17 76% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) Dead Yeti Clown Car
Foresia -The Lust Curse- $14.99 15 33% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) BlusterD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.