Do I ship it?

GamesAction RTSAction RTS + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Action RTS?

Action RTS + Action Roguelike

Of 25 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike Action RTS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $590, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270. 52 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 80% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 52 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RTS + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $6.1k → $598 → $5.3k → $150 → $2.1k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RTS + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $594 (exactly $594)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 5% $131k (exactly $130,669)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 68
Announced 52
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RTS, Action Roguelike; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Roguelite, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,337 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $590, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Auto BattlerFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + FPSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot16 devs · median $594 · 16 announced
  4. + Turn-Based StrategyPoor odds12 devs · median $85k · 16 announced
  5. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds9 devs · median $85k · 18 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds26 devs · median $29k · 57 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds25 devs · median $18k · 54 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds30 devs · median $13k · 50 announced
  10. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds22 devs · median $11k · 51 announced
  11. + Grand StrategyPoor odds25 devs · median $7.5k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds10 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced

All 89 pairs on the Action RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fate Seeker: Journey older $10.00 1,105 77% 33k $332k (exactly $331,500) JSL Entertainment
Warlords Battleground: Extraction $11.99 525 84% 16k $189k (exactly $188,842) 绝汪
Iron Marines Invasion older $14.99 334 66% 10k $150k (exactly $150,200) Ironhide Game Studio
Warlords Under Siege $9.99 436 77% 13k $131k (exactly $130,669) RedKar Devs
VOIDCRISIS older $29.99 122 54% 3.7k $110k (exactly $109,763) HEXADRIVE Inc.
Circle Empires 2 $12.99 266 72% 8.0k $104k (exactly $103,660) Luminous
Gods Against Machines older $11.99 91 84% 2.7k $33k (exactly $32,733) Silver Eye Studios
Space Raiders in Space older $9.99 75 93% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Apollo Interactive S.L.
Krosfighter older $9.99 57 64% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Doryah Games
Deadrock Salvation $9.99 38 86% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Ghost Machine
Foresia -The Lust Curse- $14.99 15 33% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) BlusterD
Just Move:Clean City Messy Battle $15.99 11 45% 330 $5.3k (exactly $5,277) daminggede
TransmuTowers $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Edenic Era LLC
REBELLION PRINCESS|リベリオン プリンセス $5.99 11 81% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) テイク
WEAPON MASTER $3.99 16 100% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) SamAFEI, ONE SHOT STUDIO
Gore Sword $9.99 5 20% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Gore Sword Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.