Do I ship it?

Games › Action Roguelike › Action Roguelike + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Supernatural

Of 47 developers who shipped a Supernatural Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×695 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 78 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 78 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.5k → $1.0k → $28k → $2.7k → $116k → $4.3k → $90 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $330k (exactly $330,113)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 108
Announced 78
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 4,604 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $600, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 7 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Phantom Abyss 2024 · $1.2M Rogue Lords 2021 · $1.1M Section 13 2025 · $462k Necrosmith 2022 · $438k Night Swarm 2025 · $342k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Phantom Abyss older $19.99 1,962 81% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,176,611) Team WIBY
Rogue Lords older $24.99 1,442 71% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio
Section 13 $19.99 770 70% 23k $462k (exactly $461,769) Ocean Drive Studio, Inc.
Necrosmith older $2.99 4,885 85% 147k $438k (exactly $438,185) Alawar
Night Swarm $9.99 1,142 78% 34k $342k (exactly $342,257) Fubu Games
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
Soulslinger: Envoy of Death $19.99 472 63% 14k $283k (exactly $283,058) Elder Games
Rogue Loops $14.99 259 71% 7.8k $116k (exactly $116,472) Fubu Games
Holy Shoot $12.99 267 78% 8.0k $104k (exactly $104,050) Tale Era Interactive
An Ankou · EA older $4.99 604 67% 18k $90k (exactly $90,419) Alkemi
I will purify you $13.99 141 78% 4.2k $59k (exactly $59,178) Cheese Burger Studio
Kill The Music $9.99 106 96% 3.2k $32k (exactly $31,768) Nikko Nikko
Pizza Deathlivery $5.99 161 72% 4.8k $29k (exactly $28,932) Kusa Games
Nullpoint Protocol $14.99 62 61% 1.9k $28k (exactly $27,881) Everbloom Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.