Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Superhero

Only 10 developers shipped a Superhero Action Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.2k, ×2.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $21k, ×15 the market median. Revenue is up 2665% on the market; 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 2665% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $54k → $60 → $19k → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $3.2k (exactly $3,235)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,897)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $21,741)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 27
Announced 18
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2665% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action Roguelike
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 96% positive over 256 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $3.2k, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Widow in the Endless Labyrinth older $14.99 133 78% 4.0k $60k (exactly $59,810) Hajime Doujin Circle
Superior: Vengeance older $16.99 106 77% 3.2k $54k (exactly $54,028) Drifter®
Chenso Club older $9.99 83 74% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) Pixadome
Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse $24.99 29 96% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) Viral Studios
After School Grounds (방과후운동장) $3.99 160 99% 4.8k $19k (exactly $19,152) After School Vtuber
Magic War older $24.99 10 100% 300 $7.5k (exactly $7,497) Gamesforgames
Conquer Humanity · EA older $2.99 60 68% 1.8k $5.4k (exactly $5,382) Adi Zhavo
Second Rate Superheroes older $4.99 33 75% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) Fun Asylum Studio
Overrun Survivors · EA older $4.99 30 56% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Midquest Games
Redneck Brawl Turbo $12.99 10 90% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Kolossus Games
DREADMARCH $4.99 24 79% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) MM88
Robbing Time · EA $5.99 18 88% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) Monday Squid
WorldWatch: Superhero Bullet Heaven · EA $3.59 10 100% 300 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game… (Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game Studio)
Dual Force $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Howling Beast Entertainment
Mystic Warfare · EA $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) SECRET PAPER
Maze Estate Escape $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Gibbous Pig Games
Medieval Heroes $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Trottomatic

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.