Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Spaceships

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Spaceship Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Spaceships

Only 11 developers shipped a Spaceship Action Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Reality Break, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. Revenue is down 50% on the market, with 12 games announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Spaceships
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $3.0k → $1.4k
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Spaceships: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 5% $512k (exactly $512,045)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 25
Announced 12
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Spaceships
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 747 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $510k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shortest Trip to Earth older $25.99 1,257 76% 38k $980k (exactly $980,083) Interactive Fate
Reality Break $24.99 683 80% 20k $512k (exactly $512,045) Element Games, LLC
Power of Ten older $11.99 248 79% 7.4k $89k (exactly $89,206) Pew Times Three
Godrop older $8.99 269 93% 8.1k $73k (exactly $72,549) KATOR Game Studio, ZeroCastle game Stud… (KATOR Game Studio, ZeroCastle game Studio)
Fabular: Once Upon a Spacetime · EA older $14.99 119 80% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) Spiritus Games
I See Red older $9.99 106 90% 3.2k $32k (exactly $31,768) Whiteboard Games
Void Grimm · EA older $14.99 11 72% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Ravery
Seven Suns of Orion $4.99 22 100% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) FerroFerrous
Solar Survivors older $4.99 20 95% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) BoxFox Studios
Broadside Renegades older $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Joseph Renzi
Lonely tiny spaceship $3.99 12 83% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Lonely bro
Intergalactic Defenders · EA $3.99 9 100% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Mert TASKIRAN
Fire Everything! $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) MindWroughtGames
HYPERDRIVE $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Archon
LasTar $0.99 9 100% 270 $267 (exactly $267) Cidev
Last Star $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Nordman
UFO BLAST $1.99 4 50% 120 $239 (exactly $239) odwar
Gamma Burst · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Ulysses Blackjohn

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.