Do I ship it?

Games › Action Roguelike › Action Roguelike + On-Rails Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an On-Rails Shooter Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + On-Rails Shooter

Only 11 developers shipped an On-Rails Shooter Action Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, TurretGirls, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×1187 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + On-Rails Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action Roguelike + On-Rails Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,694)
Top 5% $564k (exactly $564,035)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 28
Announced 13
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
On-Rails Shooter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, On-Rails Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 83% positive over 2,425 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $600, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

TurretGirls 2025 · $564k Whisker Squadron: Survivor 2025 · $291k BeachHead 2024 · $43k GAZZLERS 2023 · $11k Exodemic 2022 · $6.9k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TurretGirls $9.99 1,882 85% 56k $564k (exactly $564,035) NANAIRO ENTERPRISE
Whisker Squadron: Survivor $19.99 485 77% 15k $291k (exactly $290,854) Flippfly LLC
BeachHead older $14.99 95 66% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Digital Fusion Inc.
GAZZLERS older $9.99 38 81% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Bolt Blaster Games
Exodemic older $4.99 46 93% 1.4k $6.9k (exactly $6,886) ganashaw
Moor Rail $9.99 19 78% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) PLAY Mephistowaltz
Smokyflex older $12.99 11 90% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Gamesforgames
Unit Down older $4.99 22 95% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Randy Becker
BeachHead Rogue $4.99 19 73% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Digital Fusion Inc.
Dead In Your TrackZ $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Keyes Bros. Inc.
Dwarven Rails $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Kogekisaru
Kleopatra $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) AliRei Dream ProjeKt
HYPERDRIVE $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Archon
Rogue Cave $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Rogue Gecko
Neon Overdrive $24.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Coffee Moth Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.