Do I ship it?

Games › Action Roguelike › Action Roguelike + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Nature

Of 79 developers who shipped a Nature Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 147 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $35k, ×74 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 147 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 147 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 79
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $1.4k → $1.8k → $1.8k → $836 → $419 → $599 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 79
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,146)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,365)
Developers, 2 yr 79
Released games 170
Announced 147
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 8,439 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 147 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Everything is Crab: The Animal Evolution Roguelite 2026 · $2.1M Ravenbound 2023 · $693k Primordialis 2025 · EA · $584k Serum: Toxic Survival 2024 · EA · $190k Sipho 2023 · $183k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Everything is Crab: The Animal Evolution Roguelite $9.99 6,876 76% 206k $2.1M (exactly $2,060,737) Odd Dreams Digital
Ravenbound older $29.99 770 53% 23k $693k (exactly $692,769) Systemic Reaction™
Primordialis · EA $19.99 974 93% 29k $584k (exactly $584,108) Kyler Natividad, Keith Sammut
Serum: Toxic Survival · EA older $24.99 253 45% 7.6k $190k (exactly $189,674) Game Island
Sipho older $17.99 339 83% 10k $183k (exactly $182,958) All Parts Connected
Utawarerumono: ZAN 2 $39.99 88 82% 2.6k $106k (exactly $105,574) AQUAPLUS
Ex Natura: Nature Corrupted older $19.99 155 69% 4.7k $93k (exactly $92,954) Blackburne Games Yazılım A.Ş.
DinoSystem · EA older $7.99 247 92% 7.4k $59k (exactly $59,206) Daniele Ferraro
Chrysalis $9.99 118 84% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,365) Metamorph Games
TumbleSeed older $14.99 77 88% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) Benedict Fritz, Greg Wohlwend, Joel Cor… (Benedict Fritz, Greg Wohlwend, Joel Corelitz, David Laskey, Jenna Blazevich)
Rogue Labyrinth $14.99 74 98% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) Tea Witch Games
Grimoire Groves $19.99 47 82% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) Stardust
Desktop Heroes $5.99 103 69% 3.1k $19k (exactly $18,509) Telazer
Chumini: Tiny Army $4.99 82 93% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,275) Guilloteam
Fantasy Madness: Bloodbath $6.99 56 85% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,743) Night Steed Games
Tale of the Bullet Knight · EA $15.99 21 95% 630 $10k (exactly $10,074) JAKALWIZARDSTUDIO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.