Do I ship it?

Games › Action Roguelike › Action Roguelike + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Mythology

Of 71 developers who shipped a Mythological Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 152 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1879 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 152 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 152 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 71
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $15k → $899 → $4.3k → $748 → $4.2k → $2.3k → $3.3k (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 71
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,394)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,074)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,180,210)
Developers, 2 yr 71
Released games 175
Announced 152
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 132,131 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 152 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Hades 2020 · $214M Hades II 2025 · $103M Noita 2020 · $49M 暖雪 Warm Snow 2022 · $19M Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel 2025 · $3.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hades older $24.99 285,748 97% 8.6M $214M (exactly $214,225,276) Supergiant Games
Hades II $29.99 114,419 95% 3.4M $103M (exactly $102,942,774) Supergiant Games
Noita older $19.99 81,149 95% 2.4M $49M (exactly $48,665,055) Nolla Games
暖雪 Warm Snow older $17.99 35,270 92% 1.1M $19M (exactly $19,035,219) BadMudStudio
Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel $14.99 7,318 82% 220k $3.3M (exactly $3,290,905) Games Farm, ARTillery
SWORN $24.99 3,779 80% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) Windwalk Games
Aces & Adventures older $19.99 2,220 89% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) Triple.B.Titles
Neon Abyss 2 · EA $19.99 1,968 68% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,180,210) Veewo Games
Rogue Lords older $24.99 1,442 71% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio
Conquest Dark · EA $9.99 2,530 89% 76k $758k (exactly $758,241) Eldritch Sword Games
Achilles: Survivor $8.99 1,454 81% 44k $392k (exactly $392,144) Dark Point Games
Towa and the Guardians of the Sacred Tree $29.99 207 63% 6.2k $186k (exactly $186,238) Brownies inc.
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative
Utawarerumono: ZAN 2 $39.99 88 82% 2.6k $106k (exactly $105,574) AQUAPLUS
Sin and Love $14.99 232 65% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) XingCaiStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.