Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Mining

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Mining

Of 28 developers who shipped a Mining Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×521 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 64 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 64 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Mining
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $3.1k → $212k → $4.2k → $9.0k → $1.7k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Mining: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,132)
Top 5% $248k (exactly $247,552)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 57
Announced 64
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Mining; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,213 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
UnderMine older $19.99 9,284 90% 279k $5.6M (exactly $5,567,615) Thorium
Lumencraft older $19.99 1,086 75% 33k $651k (exactly $651,274) 2Dynamic Games
UnderMine 2 · EA $19.99 828 75% 25k $497k (exactly $496,552) Thorium
Swarm Grinder older $7.99 1,163 76% 35k $279k (exactly $278,771) Last Bite Games
Ocean Keeper: Dome Survival $9.99 826 77% 25k $248k (exactly $247,552) RetroStyle Games
Stonewards · EA $9.99 806 94% 24k $242k (exactly $241,558) Banana Tiger Studio
BORE BLASTERS older $9.99 709 80% 21k $212k (exactly $212,487) 8BitSkull
FROGGY HATES SNOW $14.99 456 91% 14k $205k (exactly $205,063) CRYING BRICK
Below the Stone · EA older $14.99 391 83% 12k $176k (exactly $175,833) Strollart
Power of Ten older $11.99 248 79% 7.4k $89k (exactly $89,206) Pew Times Three
Mining Survivors $4.99 132 74% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,760) Wonderbounce Games
There Is mORE · EA $14.99 31 90% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) ByteBeyond
Into the Slimy Mines $12.99 26 100% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Ant Workshop Ltd
OREBLAZE $4.99 64 92% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) Ludiminal Games
Fallen Angel: Hell Survival $19.99 15 86% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Strongfinger
Star Mining Co. $8.99 29 82% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) Barney Whiteman

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.