Do I ship it?

Games › Action Roguelike › Action Roguelike + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Military

Of 60 developers who shipped a Military Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 87 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×898 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 87 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 87 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 60
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.0k → $1.1k → $4.6k → $9.9k → $2.1k → $449 → $450 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 60
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,622)
Top 5% $564k (exactly $563,718)
Developers, 2 yr 60
Released games 134
Announced 87
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action Roguelike; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 8,297 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 87 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

HighFleet 2021 · $6.3M Medal of Honor™: Above and Beyond 2020 · $3.0M Pax Autocratica 2026 · EA · $2.9M Sky Rogue 2017 · $635k TurretGirls 2025 · $564k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HighFleet older $29.99 7,024 88% 211k $6.3M (exactly $6,319,493) Konstantin Koshutin
Medal of Honor™: Above and Beyond older $39.99 2,466 65% 74k $3.0M (exactly $2,958,460) Respawn Entertainment
Pax Autocratica · EA $29.99 3,202 91% 96k $2.9M (exactly $2,880,839) Multiverse
Sky Rogue older $19.99 1,059 92% 32k $635k (exactly $635,082) Fractal Phase
TurretGirls $9.99 1,882 85% 56k $564k (exactly $564,035) NANAIRO ENTERPRISE
Rogue Point $19.99 940 63% 28k $564k (exactly $563,718) Crowbar Collective
METAL DOGS older $19.99 766 81% 23k $459k (exactly $459,370) 24Frame,inc.
Granvir $14.99 842 90% 25k $379k (exactly $378,647) Airborne Games
ISEKAI FRONTLINE older $3.99 1,806 77% 54k $216k (exactly $216,178) Studio Ginkgo
Metal Thunder · EA $10.99 567 76% 17k $187k (exactly $186,940) Dumbbell Games
Grit and Valor - 1949 $19.99 274 75% 8.2k $164k (exactly $164,318) Milky Tea Studios
Fracture Point $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Kyrylo Burlaka
TOP DOG $9.99 263 88% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) MorfeoDev
Astral Lords $12.99 105 80% 3.2k $41k (exactly $40,918) Dark Dimension
Defender Bros · EA $19.99 64 90% 1.9k $38k (exactly $38,381) Lucky Dart

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.