Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Logic

Of 28 developers who shipped a Logic Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 34 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 540% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 540% on the market, 34 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $2.1k → $1.2k → $239 → $2.2k → $2.5k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $330k (exactly $330,113)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 63
Announced 34
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 540% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Puzzle, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,503 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Glyphica: Typing Survival · EA $9.99 2,488 90% 75k $746k (exactly $745,654) aliasBLACK
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Killer: Infected One of Us older $6.99 196 52% 5.9k $41k (exactly $41,101) DreamTeamGames
Overhaul older $11.99 80 91% 2.4k $29k (exactly $28,776) Bread Panda
Guayota older $14.99 40 92% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Team Delusion
Dangerous Arena older $29.99 14 71% 420 $13k (exactly $12,596) RenPixel
Dawg Game $3.99 104 98% 3.1k $12k (exactly $12,449) Big Noses Entertainment
DOLPHIN HUSTLE older $24.99 16 75% 480 $12k (exactly $11,995) Gamesforgames
S.E.M.I. – Side Effects May Include... $7.99 47 78% 1.4k $11k (exactly $11,266) Two Horn Unicorn
Cribbish $4.99 65 81% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Fence Post Games
Accretion $9.99 21 38% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) ValarFerys
TYPE $4.99 17 88% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Parcyval
Blightseed $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Zen of Mars
Go Ahead $5.49 15 86% 450 $2.5k (exactly $2,470) Broken Project

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.