Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Interactive Fiction

Only 13 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Action Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Five Hearts Under One Roof season2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 23265% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $190k → $390 → $89 → $64k → $51k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $51k (exactly $50,774)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,482,165)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 38
Announced 14
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 23265% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Interactive Fiction; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Action RPG
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 9 games average 92% positive over 2,712 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $50k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Five Hearts Under One Roof season2 $22.99 2,149 96% 64k $1.5M (exactly $1,482,165) Storytaco
Heading Out older $19.99 639 74% 19k $383k (exactly $383,208) Serious Sim, Crunching Koalas
Serum: Toxic Survival · EA older $24.99 253 45% 7.6k $190k (exactly $189,674) Game Island
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative
Horny Housewives 2 $14.99 146 63% 4.4k $66k (exactly $65,656) Entropy Digital Entertainment
CyberPimp 2069 $17.99 118 87% 3.5k $64k (exactly $63,685) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Stranger Maidens Please Protect Me! $10.99 154 92% 4.6k $51k (exactly $50,774) Volcanic Good Boy
The Last Hope older $1.99 268 46% 8.0k $16k (exactly $16,000) Balti Calarasi
Light Speed Ride Out · EA older $4.99 20 90% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) brimselGames
Misery Avenue $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Miseryous Games
Omega Luma : The First Battle $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Mavi Game Studios
Apex Ascent $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Avenax
GPU Inferno $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Moriba
Fractious $59.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Fractious

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.