Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Hidden Object

Only 17 developers shipped a Hidden Object Action Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dawg Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $359 → $60 → $0 → $3.6k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $629 (exactly $629)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $12,449)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 57
Announced 31
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Hidden Object; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Character Customization
Price point
$4.00 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.00.

The top 8 games average 87% positive over 169 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $620, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Anglerfish older $9.99 271 82% 8.1k $81k (exactly $81,219) Professional Villains
Spectro older $14.99 49 81% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Borrowed Light VR
Dawg Game $3.99 104 98% 3.1k $12k (exactly $12,449) Big Noses Entertainment
COLLAPSE COMPANY · EA $8.99 28 89% 840 $7.6k (exactly $7,552) VOLT-TECKS GAME STUDIO
Mini Crafty older $4.99 32 65% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) V. Chuvilin
Forsaken Valley $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) KineticFox
AFFRAID $8.99 13 15% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Oedipe Games, Oedipe Games
Still be a Human · EA older $4.99 20 85% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Something Isnt Right
Katana-Ra: Shinobi Rising older $19.99 4 25% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) W.R.K.S Games
Shonen Adventure : The Dual Blades Hero older $13.99 5 60% 150 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Melvyn Boutel
Peace Dice · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Red Face Games
CORPSE HUNTER $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) 墓地
modavuj FOREST CAMP · EA $0.99 5 60% 150 $148 (exactly $148) Modavuj Games
Entities $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Danilo Willian
祖宗饶命 $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CHEN YANPING
Chernobots $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sportz League

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.