Do I ship it?

Games › Action Roguelike › Action Roguelike + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Gothic

Of 47 developers who shipped a Gothic Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×3485 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 78 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 78 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $150 → $11k → $11k → $719 → $2.4k → $449 (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,086)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,655,172)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 88
Announced 78
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.66

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$6.66 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.66.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 44,149 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Have a Nice Death 2023 · $7.3M Halls of Torment 2024 · $6.1M VOIN 2024 · EA · $2.0M Crimson Moon 2026 · $1.7M Nunholy 2025 · $1.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Have a Nice Death older $24.99 9,729 85% 292k $7.3M (exactly $7,293,831) Magic Design Studios
Halls of Torment $6.66 30,752 95% 923k $6.1M (exactly $6,144,250) Chasing Carrots
VOIN · EA $19.99 3,319 94% 100k $2.0M (exactly $1,990,404) Nikita Sozidar
Crimson Moon $19.99 2,760 59% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,655,172) ProbablyMonsters
Nunholy $7.99 5,150 88% 155k $1.2M (exactly $1,234,455) Chowbie
Rogue Lords older $24.99 1,442 71% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio
Corpse Keeper older $19.99 1,126 76% 34k $675k (exactly $675,262) Melancholia Studio
Scarlet Tower older $6.99 1,831 81% 55k $384k (exactly $383,961) Pyxeralia LLC
Netherworld Covenant $19.99 597 78% 18k $358k (exactly $358,021) MadGoat Game Studio
Night Swarm $9.99 1,142 78% 34k $342k (exactly $342,257) Fubu Games
Penny Blood: Hellbound $24.99 81 83% 2.4k $61k (exactly $60,726) NatsumeAtari, STUDIO WILDROSE
Flock of the Seraphim $9.99 162 85% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) GuuchanDev
Black Dragon Mage · EA $5.99 140 70% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) datablob
Metavoidal $14.99 46 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Yellow Lab Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.