Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike God Game?

God Game + Action Roguelike

Only 10 developers shipped an Action Roguelike God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FALL, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $8.7k → $0
Outcomes for God Game + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $9.5k (exactly $9,524)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $22,904)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 29
Announced 12
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 86% positive over 270 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DinoSystem · EA older $7.99 247 92% 7.4k $59k (exactly $59,206) Daniele Ferraro
Gods Against Machines older $11.99 91 84% 2.7k $33k (exactly $32,733) Silver Eye Studios
FALL $4.99 153 88% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) 谭浩翔
Soulbound Roguelike $9.99 34 82% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) DuDu Games
Holy Shot $5.99 53 84% 1.6k $9.5k (exactly $9,524) LoneWolf Digital Arts
Lifeforms: Binary Fission older $9.99 29 65% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Vystyk Games
Balls Crush Simulator $2.99 20 80% 600 $1.8k (exactly $1,794) BEST SIMULATORS CORP
Stimmings older $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Bonis
Harvester Arno $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) LAL
Eternal Survival $1.43 7 85% 210 $300 (exactly $300) Crazy Circuit Games Studio
DARK DANCE · EA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) NNIX Inc.
Astonishing $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) xiaoou
Altruistic $49.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chen Min
The Black King $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Arthur Lee Schneider

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.