Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Farming Sim

Of 20 developers who shipped a Farming Sim Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×848 the market median. Revenue is up 1291165% on the market; 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 1291165% on the market, 26 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $2.4k → $0 → $3.6k (still earning) → $47k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,190)
Top 5% $403k (exactly $402,616)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 44
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Farming Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Building, Crafting
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,790 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Pesticide Not Required older $6.50 816 93% 24k $159k (exactly $159,120) Jampacked Games
Voltaire: The Vegan Vampire older $19.99 113 76% 3.4k $68k (exactly $67,766) Digitality Games
Nimbit Frontier · EA $13.99 113 97% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Megasploot
Grimoire Groves $19.99 47 82% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) Stardust
Sun Down Survivors older $4.99 185 50% 5.6k $28k (exactly $27,694) Pixel Sprout Studios
仙道孤旅 · EA older $8.99 53 84% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,294) 仙道
Giant’s Heart $9.99 34 91% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) sqqqwer
Hungry Meem $29.99 9 66% 270 $8.1k (exactly $8,097) Drecom Co., Ltd.
Tutien Path $14.99 16 81% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Truong Thanh Triet
Forsaken Valley $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) KineticFox
Meat Lovers $6.99 5 60% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Triple O Studios
Dreamrealms Resurgence $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Kang Jie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.