Do I ship it?

Games › Action Roguelike › Action Roguelike + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Dinosaurs

Only 12 developers shipped a Dinosaur Action Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dinotica, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×18 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×641 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 16 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $3.0k → $11k
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $11k (exactly $11,058)
Top 25% $89k (exactly $88,591)
Top 5% $403k (exactly $402,616)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 27
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action Roguelike
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,402 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $88k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dinotica 2026 · $403k Utawarerumono: ZAN 2 2026 · $106k Dino Path Trail 2025 · $89k Struggle F.O 2024 · $64k DinoSystem 2015 · EA · $59k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
Utawarerumono: ZAN 2 $39.99 88 82% 2.6k $106k (exactly $105,574) AQUAPLUS
Dino Path Trail $14.99 197 76% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) Void Pointer
Struggle F.O $8.80 243 67% 7.3k $64k (exactly $64,152) Espada Inc.
DinoSystem · EA older $7.99 247 92% 7.4k $59k (exactly $59,206) Daniele Ferraro
Time Survivors older $4.99 272 61% 8.2k $41k (exactly $40,718) Lunar Chili
Bubble Bobble Sugar Dungeons Boosted $39.99 17 58% 510 $20k (exactly $20,395) TAITO CORP.
Happy Monster · EA $8.99 41 82% 1.2k $11k (exactly $11,058) Destined Game Studio
The Feathered Serpent older $9.99 29 96% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Matthew Young
Never Ending Beyond $9.99 20 80% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) One More Dream Studios
Dino Tower Arena $3.99 44 100% 1.3k $5.3k (exactly $5,267) OsKkarz_
Anzu $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Was Running Studio
Bow Hunter $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Chadams Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.