Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Collectathon

Of 46 developers who shipped a Collectathon Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $38k, ×81 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 54 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 54 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $838 → $1.2k → $1.8k → $299 → $300 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $2.0k (exactly $2,035)
Top 5% $38k (exactly $38,424)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 106
Announced 54
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Collectathon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,556 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $38k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. Nearly all of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Little Noah: Scion of Paradise older $14.99 2,172 92% 65k $977k (exactly $976,748) Cygames, Inc., Grounding Inc.
Metal Bringer $19.99 1,109 87% 33k $665k (exactly $665,067) ALPHAWING Inc.
Rustil: Eternal Labyrinth Castle $18.99 950 71% 29k $541k (exactly $541,215) KTMG LLC.
Samurai Bringer older $9.99 1,012 87% 30k $303k (exactly $303,296) ALPHAWING Inc.
BORE BLASTERS older $9.99 709 80% 21k $212k (exactly $212,487) 8BitSkull
Full Mojo Rampage older $12.99 524 85% 16k $204k (exactly $204,203) Over the Top Games
Cursed Crew · EA older $20.00 70 80% 2.1k $42k (exactly $42,000) Cracklewock Games
Duncrush $3.99 321 82% 9.6k $38k (exactly $38,424) Golden Pick Games
Just Click The Button older $2.99 341 90% 10k $31k (exactly $30,588) Simon Eftestol
Loot Hero DX older $2.99 338 71% 10k $30k (exactly $30,319) VaragtP
Smith & Dungeon: Crafting the Legendary Weapons $12.99 39 41% 1.2k $15k (exactly $15,198) Zoo Corporation
Derby Heroines: Run, Bet, Win! $14.99 17 94% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Accretion $9.99 21 38% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) ValarFerys
Speedollama $8.99 23 95% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) Chaosmonger Studio
Funfair Billionaire $5.99 29 82% 870 $5.2k (exactly $5,211) Yunogames
YGGDRA: SURVIVOR $4.99 34 79% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) BD
Pizza Delivery Survivors · EA $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Conglomerated Industries

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.