Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Board Game

Only 6 developers shipped a Board Game Action Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Break Shoot, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×6.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $15k, ×33 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,055)
Top 25% $6.4k (exactly $6,437)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $15,868)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 34
Announced 11
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Board Game
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 13,980 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hand of Fate older $19.99 8,009 89% 240k $4.8M (exactly $4,802,997) Defiant Development
Hand of Fate 2 older $29.99 5,273 84% 158k $4.7M (exactly $4,744,118) Defiant Development
Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) older $24.99 250 70% 7.5k $187k (exactly $187,425) Auroch Digital
Break Shoot $4.99 106 99% 3.2k $16k (exactly $15,868) UPTRAND
The Chronicles of Quiver Dick older $2.99 173 93% 5.2k $16k (exactly $15,518) Crankage Games
Dice Assassin older $2.99 76 69% 2.3k $6.8k (exactly $6,817) Afil Games
Coinsweeper $4.99 43 86% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Duo Forge Games
Check and Slash older $4.99 24 91% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Gate of Madness
Band of Brigands older $11.99 9 88% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) ProtoGames
Petrified Pawns $5.99 17 88% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) Bepansrad Studio
BeatHero $6.99 4 100% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Rainboar Studios
15 Minutes Dungeon $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Daruma The Factory, Inc.
Checkmate Rush $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Opal Labs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.