Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Action-Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action-Adventure Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Action-Adventure

Of 94 developers who shipped an Action-Adventure Hero Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 154 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.4 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 154 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 125% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 154 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Action-Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 94
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $1.0k → $987 → $479 → $1.0k → $1.1k → $359 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Action-Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 94
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $89k (exactly $89,214)
Developers, 2 yr 94
Released games 370
Announced 154
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter, Action-Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 6,508 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $89k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 63 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 154 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wild Assault $14.99 3,861 68% 116k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) Combat Cat Studio
Arken Age $39.99 669 90% 20k $803k (exactly $802,599) VitruviusVR
Fursan al-Aqsa: The Knights of the Al-Aqsa Mosque older $14.99 930 96% 28k $418k (exactly $418,221) Nidal Nijm Games
BE-A Walker older $9.99 651 72% 20k $195k (exactly $195,105) Tequilabyte Studio
The Living Remain $19.99 289 79% 8.7k $173k (exactly $173,313) Five Finger Studios
Wee Tanks! older $9.99 548 90% 16k $164k (exactly $164,236) Studio Kit
Superhero Simulator · EA $5.99 867 73% 26k $156k (exactly $155,800) mightyraccoon! Studios
Mega City Force older $14.99 289 76% 8.7k $130k (exactly $129,963) Undreamed Games
Space Adventure Cobra - The Awakening $24.99 119 77% 3.6k $89k (exactly $89,214) Magic Pockets
MEATGRINDER older $9.99 248 87% 7.4k $74k (exactly $74,326) Vampire Squid
Lust 'n Dead 🔞 $9.99 212 66% 6.4k $64k (exactly $63,536) Octo Games
Deadrock Redemption 2 $14.99 123 86% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) Entropy Digital Entertainment
KILLDOZER · EA $19.99 57 78% 1.7k $34k (exactly $34,183) Rename For Value
LUST Eternal 🔞 $4.99 212 55% 6.4k $32k (exactly $31,736) Octo Games
Deadliest Pigeon $6.99 99 93% 3.0k $21k (exactly $20,760) Rusty Rex

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.