Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror 6DOF game?

6DOF + Psychological Horror

Of 21 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror 6DOF game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $15k, ×25 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $68k → $2.8k → $2.9k → $1.8k → $300 → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,731)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,144)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $15,814)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 54
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Investigation, Puzzle
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 246 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gorilla Tag 2023 · $32M VR HOT 2021 · EA · $1.3M Laid-Back Camp - Virtual - Lake Motosu 2021 · $217k Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! 2023 · $68k Sex Simulator 2019 · $19k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
VR HOT · EA older $44.99 998 66% 30k $1.3M (exactly $1,347,001) VR HOT
Laid-Back Camp - Virtual - Lake Motosu older $19.99 362 80% 11k $217k (exactly $217,091) Gemdrops, Inc.
Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! older $34.99 65 86% 2.0k $68k (exactly $68,230) Gemdrops, Inc.
Sex Simulator older $2.99 209 71% 6.3k $19k (exactly $18,747) Slippy Floor
LiveStream: Chapter One $7.00 77 89% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,170) Artflux_Games
House of Empty Names $5.99 88 87% 2.6k $16k (exactly $15,814) Sordar Studios
NMNE older $9.99 52 78% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) AK Studio
Plank not included older $11.99 42 83% 1.3k $15k (exactly $15,107) 4 Fun Studio
Konrad's Kittens older $14.99 29 82% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) FusionPlay
Another Door: Escape Room $19.99 8 87% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) SKONEC Entertainment, YOUCANSTAR
Ragdoll Playground $9.99 13 69% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Paphnutius
GHOST CAM $10.99 10 90% 300 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) ARCH REBELS
[omni-dissonance] $4.99 21 95% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Mars Bacon LLC
Phantom Asylum VR · EA $9.99 8 75% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) SRVR
Horror Simulator VR $14.99 5 80% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Suplife Games
Mandela Invasion VR: Alternates $14.99 4 0% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Manguevar Entertainment
The Obsessive Shadow $4.99 12 75% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Pablo Heckman

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.