Should I ship a Physics 6DOF game?
6DOF + Physics
Of 67 developers who shipped a Physics 6DOF game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 123 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×502 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 123 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) |
| Top 25% | $7.8k (exactly $7,792) |
| Top 5% | $315k (exactly $315,442) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 67 |
| Released games | 256 |
| Announced | 123 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 6DOF, Physics; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action, Sandbox
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with VR, Realistic, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 4,822 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 123 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + TacticalFair
- + RobotsFair
- + WarFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RhythmPoor odds
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
Gorilla Tag 2023 · $32M 
VTOL VR 2017 · $18M 
CarX Street 2024 · $11M 
Uncrashed : FPV Drone Simulator 2021 · $3.5M 
Walkabout Mini Golf VR 2021 · $2.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Gorilla Tag | older | $19.99 | 52,637 93% | 1.6M | $32M (exactly $31,566,409) | Another Axiom Inc. |
| | VTOL VR | older | $29.99 | 19,885 98% | 597k | $18M (exactly $17,890,534) | Boundless Dynamics, LLC |
| | CarX Street | older | $19.99 | 17,600 72% | 528k | $11M (exactly $10,554,720) | CarX Technologies, LLC |
| | Uncrashed : FPV Drone Simulator | older | $14.99 | 7,770 95% | 233k | $3.5M (exactly $3,494,169) | Luminite |
| | Walkabout Mini Golf VR | older | $24.99 | 3,094 97% | 93k | $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) | Mighty Coconut |
 | Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 | older | $29.99 | 2,258 84% | 68k | $2.0M (exactly $2,031,523) | Vertigo Games |
 | TRYP FPV: Drone Racer Simulator | · EA older | $16.99 | 3,155 85% | 95k | $1.6M (exactly $1,608,103) | UNDEAD BATTERY |
 | VR HOT | · EA older | $44.99 | 998 66% | 30k | $1.3M (exactly $1,347,001) | VR HOT |
 | Bootstrap Island | $24.99 | 1,362 81% | 41k | $1.0M (exactly $1,021,091) | Maru VR | |
 | Arizona Sunshine® VR Remake | $19.99 | 1,203 88% | 36k | $721k (exactly $721,439) | Vertigo Games | |
 | Zero Caliber 2 Remastered | $24.99 | 433 79% | 13k | $325k (exactly $324,620) | XREAL Games | |
 | I Am Cat | $19.99 | 526 68% | 16k | $315k (exactly $315,442) | NEW FOLDER GAMES | |
 | Firehawk: FPV Drone Shooter | $19.99 | 494 91% | 15k | $296k (exactly $296,252) | TruePlayers | |
 | Captain Hardcore | · EA | $39.99 | 198 80% | 5.9k | $238k (exactly $237,541) | AntiZero Games |
 | Crime Shop Simulator: A Prison Boss Game | $19.99 | 157 85% | 4.7k | $94k (exactly $94,153) | TREBUCHET | |
 | VR Sailing | $7.99 | 307 96% | 9.2k | $74k (exactly $73,588) | HFRK. | |
 | Virtual Skate | · EA | $19.99 | 96 98% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | Flip Axis Studios |
 | Elvenfoundry | $34.99 | 46 67% | 1.4k | $48k (exactly $48,286) | SunbathGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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