Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings 6DOF game?

6DOF + Multiple Endings

Only 11 developers shipped a Multiple Endings 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Max Mustard, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $22k, ×36 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 28 announced, ×5.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.5k → $1.8k → $1.2k
Outcomes for 6DOF + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $22,789)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 46
Announced 28
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Multiple Endings
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 104 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu : The Books of Dragon) older $17.99 9,616 81% 288k $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
PANELKI older $7.99 2,404 86% 72k $576k (exactly $576,239) Alexander Gromyko
The Secret of Retropolis older $9.99 162 92% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) Peanut Button
Aquarelle older $59.99 19 68% 570 $34k (exactly $34,194) Andreev Worlds
Airline Flight Attendant Simulator VR older $24.99 39 66% 1.2k $29k (exactly $29,238) AVIAR B.V.
Mare older $19.99 39 79% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Lonekite Games
Max Mustard $19.99 38 94% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) Toast Interactive
A Wake Inn older $19.99 36 58% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) VR Bros
Human Within $19.99 19 52% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Signal Space Lab, Actrio Studio
The Last Taxi older $19.99 15 80% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) ZenFri Inc.
Bunker Constructor Simulator · EA $14.99 9 33% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Terno Games
GHOST CAM $10.99 10 90% 300 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) ARCH REBELS
The Obsessive Shadow $4.99 12 75% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Pablo Heckman
Project: Nova $7.99 5 60% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Fringe Realities
Sailing The Winds $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) PS Games
Shadows of the Past $4.99 4 0% 120 $599 (exactly $599) SomeTimesAtNight
Arsonist '24 Director's Cut $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) lollipopsss, R. Mirkulić
Please Ignore The Anomalies $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Unrealist Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.