Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval 6DOF game?

6DOF + Medieval

Only 12 developers shipped a Medieval 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shopenkraft's Magic Goods, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $420 against a market of $630. 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 18 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $3.1k → $416
Outcomes for 6DOF + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $416 (exactly $416)
Top 25% $719 (exactly $719)
Top 5% $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 35
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 39 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $420, 1 in 4 over $710, 1 in 20 over $1.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Townsmen VR older $39.99 426 83% 13k $511k (exactly $511,072) HandyGames
Spice&Wolf VR2 older $24.99 663 96% 20k $497k (exactly $497,051) SpicyTails
Broken Edge older $14.99 593 86% 18k $267k (exactly $266,672) TREBUCHET
Skyworld older $14.99 229 79% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Vertigo Games, Wolfdog Interactive
Darksword: Battle Eternity older $24.99 29 55% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) Com2uS ROCA
Chess VR: Multiverse Journey older $17.99 14 42% 420 $7.6k (exactly $7,556) Mastery VR
God Within VR · EA older $8.99 16 75% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) S.Y. Games
Sword King · EA older $24.99 5 20% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) C. J. K.
Rilla Shotgun · EA older $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) SpaceRex Games
Tiny Archers VR older $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) 1DER Entertainment
Shopenkraft's Magic Goods $14.99 4 50% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Ingenious Studios
Painted Legend: Knights of Ink & Paper $6.99 5 100% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Storyan teaM
Halloween Candy Reclaim $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Sourcenity
The Tavern Tales: Medieval Simulator · EA $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Flash Ray Games
Darkest Messia · EA $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Spektraz Games
FastShoot $0.99 14 64% 420 $416 (exactly $416) Fleer Art Studio, L1as
POGO Epoch: Impossible 99% · EA $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) 힉학헉
Quiver Quest $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Orca Virtual
Province: Suroste · EA $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Ztry8 (AslanD)
Grey Cloaks of Aron: The Sleeping Village $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) DullSeasonGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.