Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic 6DOF game?

6DOF + Logic

Only 16 developers shipped a Logic 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, LiveStream: Chapter One, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $16k, ×26 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 26 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 26 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $450 → $2.4k → $1.0k → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,394)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $16,170)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 64
Announced 26
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Hidden Object, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Dialogue Heavy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 176 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $16k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Airport Ground Handling Simulator VR · EA older $29.99 121 61% 3.6k $109k (exactly $108,864) AVIAR B.V.
Project Third Eye · EA older $11.99 166 74% 5.0k $60k (exactly $59,710) YueWorks
A Wake Inn older $19.99 36 58% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) VR Bros
The Prism older $4.99 127 68% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) Nikhil. T, Gabriel. H
LiveStream: Chapter One $7.00 77 89% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,170) Artflux_Games
EscapeVR: Trapped Above the Clouds older $8.99 49 73% 1.5k $13k (exactly $13,215) Five Mind Creations, Sourcenity
LyraVR · EA older $14.99 25 84% 750 $11k (exactly $11,242) LyraVR
Puzzle Park older $8.99 37 64% 1.1k $10k (exactly $9,979) SVGames
Another Door: Escape Room $19.99 8 87% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) SKONEC Entertainment, YOUCANSTAR
The Holy City older $19.99 7 71% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Holy City VR, Nimrod Shanit, Sean Thoma… (Holy City VR, Nimrod Shanit, Sean Thomas Evans)
Family Friends: Beyond Home $7.99 13 30% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) eroverse
Doggy Up! $3.99 20 90% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) Feas
CINESCAPE VR $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) SUPER AC
Oldest Golden Treasure $14.99 4 75% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Vasil4N
Neptune Island $1.99 29 68% 870 $1.7k (exactly $1,731) B0GWALK Labs
Ambulance Driver Life VR $7.99 6 33% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) İNİTİUM STUDİO
6 rooms $7.99 6 66% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) UUE
Glow Cubes $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Ross' Toybox

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.