Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Historical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Historical 6DOF game?

6DOF + Historical

Only 5 developers shipped a paid Historical 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Maestro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 17 more are announced, ×17 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $540 against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 17 announced, ×17 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Historical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 6DOF + Historical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $1.1k (exactly $1,076)
Top 5% $407k (exactly $407,087)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 49
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 45%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Historical
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $10.00.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 6,002 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $540, 1 in 4 over $1.0k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×17 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Walkabout Mini Golf VR older $24.99 3,094 97% 93k $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) Mighty Coconut
Maestro $24.99 543 96% 16k $407k (exactly $407,087) Double Jack
Metro Simulator 2 older $14.99 674 65% 20k $303k (exactly $303,098) KishMish Games
Broken Edge older $14.99 593 86% 18k $267k (exactly $266,672) TREBUCHET
Buccaneers! older $17.99 386 82% 12k $208k (exactly $208,324) Skyward Digital
BRINK Traveler older $14.99 188 87% 5.6k $85k (exactly $84,544) BRINK XR
Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships older $7.99 245 76% 7.4k $59k (exactly $58,726) Akella
Sea Dogs older $11.99 162 75% 4.9k $58k (exactly $58,271) Akella
Uberlaufer · EA older $10.00 74 83% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,200) Think Tank Decoy Software LLC
The Line older $4.99 43 95% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) ARVORE
Strigoi: The Vampire Legend $2.99 12 41% 360 $1.1k (exactly $1,076) SP GAMES
RE-ANIMATED $5.99 3 66% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Erratic Animist
Floating with Spirits $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Cassette For Timescapes, Tarantula, Stu… (Cassette For Timescapes, Tarantula, Studio Biarritz)
Chinese Chess Way $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SeeingTec

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.