Do I ship it?

Games › 6DOF › 6DOF + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic 6DOF game?

6DOF + Futuristic

Of 27 developers who shipped a Futuristic 6DOF game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×3296 the market median. Revenue is up 795% on the market; 59 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 795% on the market, 59 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $150 → $2.4k → $1.5k → $600 → $1.2k → $3.0k (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,789)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,069,749)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 111
Announced 59
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 795% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Co-op
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with VR, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 7,501 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

VTOL VR 2017 · $18M Metro Awakening 2024 · $2.7M Raw Data 2017 · $2.4M Angels Fall First 2026 · $2.1M Hubris 2022 · $737k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
VTOL VR older $29.99 19,885 98% 597k $18M (exactly $17,890,534) Boundless Dynamics, LLC
Metro Awakening $29.99 3,013 73% 90k $2.7M (exactly $2,710,796) Vertigo Games
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Angels Fall First $17.99 3,835 81% 115k $2.1M (exactly $2,069,749) Strangely Interactive Ltd
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
VR Paradise - Steam Edition older $19.99 952 86% 29k $571k (exactly $570,914) Totem Entertainment
Flight Of Nova · EA older $29.99 537 93% 16k $483k (exactly $483,139) Aerovery Lab
Roboquest VR $29.99 395 87% 12k $355k (exactly $355,382) Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios
Evochron Legacy SE older $24.99 415 82% 12k $311k (exactly $311,126) StarWraith 3D Games LLC
Underspace · EA older $19.99 434 81% 13k $260k (exactly $260,270) Pastaspace Interactive
Elvenfoundry $34.99 46 67% 1.4k $48k (exactly $48,286) SunbathGames
Titan Isles $24.99 40 95% 1.2k $30k (exactly $29,988) Psytec Games Ltd
Dance Eden $19.99 42 85% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) DigiEden
Max Mustard $19.99 38 94% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) Toast Interactive
Death Horizon: Cyberfusion $7.99 61 67% 1.8k $15k (exactly $14,622) Horizon Lab
RAGER $19.99 16 100% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Insane Prey
Sylph $12.99 15 73% 450 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Softmax Foundries

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.