Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Crafting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crafting 6DOF game?

6DOF + Crafting

Only 16 developers shipped a Crafting 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Crime Shop Simulator: A Prison Boss Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $94k, ×150 the market median. Revenue is up 335% on the market; 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 335% on the market, 34 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Crafting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $2.4k → $1.0k → $5.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Crafting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,396)
Top 5% $94k (exactly $94,153)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 42
Announced 34
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 335% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Crafting
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Crafting
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 414 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $94k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Aquanox Deep Descent older $29.99 463 48% 14k $417k (exactly $416,561) Digital Arrow
Wanted Raccoon · EA older $16.99 660 72% 20k $336k (exactly $336,402) MAD Sprouts
MOTHERGUNSHIP: FORGE older $19.99 253 93% 7.6k $152k (exactly $151,724) Terrible Posture Games
Archean · EA older $19.99 241 87% 7.2k $145k (exactly $144,528) batcholi, FloDKSM
Fast Food Manager older $14.99 238 69% 7.1k $107k (exactly $107,029) Cyber Eye
Crime Shop Simulator: A Prison Boss Game $19.99 157 85% 4.7k $94k (exactly $94,153) TREBUCHET
AI Drone Simulator older $14.99 206 83% 6.2k $93k (exactly $92,638) Diophante Studio
Elvenfoundry $34.99 46 67% 1.4k $48k (exactly $48,286) SunbathGames
Darksword: Battle Eternity older $24.99 29 55% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) Com2uS ROCA
Daybreaker VR · EA older $19.99 28 35% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) Liens, Power Up to Maximum
One More Delve $13.99 36 66% 1.1k $15k (exactly $15,109) ATVR
Wall Town Wonders $19.99 14 78% 420 $8.4k (exactly $8,396) Cyborn B.V.
Coffee Quest VR $9.99 26 88% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Keycap Games LLC
Blood Night · EA $1.99 109 95% 3.3k $6.5k (exactly $6,507) Team
Forest Construction VR $14.99 13 92% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) RedLightsStudio
Builder Simulator VR $19.99 4 50% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) EpicVR
Shopenkraft's Magic Goods $14.99 4 50% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Ingenious Studios
Echowood $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) SansaraDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.