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Should I ship a Choices Matter 6DOF game?
6DOF + Choices Matter
Only 11 developers shipped a Choices Matter 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $78k, ×125 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 35 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $11,394) |
| Top 5% | $79k (exactly $78,718) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 6DOF
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 6DOF, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 77% positive over 224 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 35 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + TacticalFair
- + RobotsFair
- + WarFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RhythmPoor odds
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City | $24.99 | 105 76% | 3.2k | $79k (exactly $78,718) | Cortopia Studios | |
| | Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships | older | $7.99 | 245 76% | 7.4k | $59k (exactly $58,726) | Akella |
| | Sea Dogs | older | $11.99 | 162 75% | 4.9k | $58k (exactly $58,271) | Akella |
| | Snow Scout | older | $29.99 | 24 70% | 720 | $22k (exactly $21,593) | Tunermaxx Media GmbH |
| | Ionia | older | $8.99 | 79 69% | 2.4k | $21k (exactly $21,306) | ROTU Entertainment & Media, Ltd. |
| | DragonRideVR | older | $14.99 | 47 93% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | TypeEh Studios |
| | LiveStream: Chapter One | $7.00 | 77 89% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $16,170) | Artflux_Games | |
| | Rooten | older | $4.99 | 105 79% | 3.2k | $16k (exactly $15,718) | Amortiz Games |
| | Human Within | $19.99 | 19 52% | 570 | $11k (exactly $11,394) | Signal Space Lab, Actrio Studio | |
| | The Last Taxi | older | $19.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $9.0k (exactly $8,996) | ZenFri Inc. |
| | Project: Nova | $7.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Fringe Realities | |
| | Letsss Play | · EA | $14.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Alexander Zmeev, Sergey Zmeev |
| | Fun Road | $2.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | RMIT | |
| | Last Signal | $2.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $359 (exactly $359) | Nexora | |
| | The Passengers | $4.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Couzin Films, Les Produits Frais | |
| | Sporeborn Dark | $0.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $178 (exactly $178) | ValiantLight | |
| | Jumper | · EA | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Antgrite |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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