Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Choices Matter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter 6DOF game?

6DOF + Choices Matter

Only 11 developers shipped a Choices Matter 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $78k, ×125 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 35 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 35 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Choices Matter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $299 → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Choices Matter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,394)
Top 5% $79k (exactly $78,718)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 39
Announced 35
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Choices Matter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 77% positive over 224 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $450, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 35 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City $24.99 105 76% 3.2k $79k (exactly $78,718) Cortopia Studios
Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships older $7.99 245 76% 7.4k $59k (exactly $58,726) Akella
Sea Dogs older $11.99 162 75% 4.9k $58k (exactly $58,271) Akella
Snow Scout older $29.99 24 70% 720 $22k (exactly $21,593) Tunermaxx Media GmbH
Ionia older $8.99 79 69% 2.4k $21k (exactly $21,306) ROTU Entertainment & Media, Ltd.
DragonRideVR older $14.99 47 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) TypeEh Studios
LiveStream: Chapter One $7.00 77 89% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,170) Artflux_Games
Rooten older $4.99 105 79% 3.2k $16k (exactly $15,718) Amortiz Games
Human Within $19.99 19 52% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Signal Space Lab, Actrio Studio
The Last Taxi older $19.99 15 80% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) ZenFri Inc.
Project: Nova $7.99 5 60% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Fringe Realities
Letsss Play · EA $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Alexander Zmeev, Sergey Zmeev
Fun Road $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) RMIT
Last Signal $2.99 4 50% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Nexora
The Passengers $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Couzin Films, Les Produits Frais
Sporeborn Dark $0.99 6 83% 180 $178 (exactly $178) ValiantLight
Jumper · EA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Antgrite

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.