Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade 6DOF game?

6DOF + Arcade

Of 46 developers who shipped an Arcade 6DOF game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $57k, ×92 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 78 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 78 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $624 → $839 → $1.2k → $1.5k → $180 → $719 → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $57,562)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 227
Announced 78
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Arcade; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Sports
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with VR, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 734 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $720, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $57k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
CarX Street older $19.99 17,600 72% 528k $11M (exactly $10,554,720) CarX Technologies, LLC
EVERSPACE™ older $19.99 9,809 77% 294k $5.9M (exactly $5,882,457) ROCKFISH Games
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Kayak VR: Mirage older $22.99 1,006 82% 30k $694k (exactly $693,838) Better Than Life
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Underspace · EA older $19.99 434 81% 13k $260k (exactly $260,270) Pastaspace Interactive
Drums Rock older $19.99 402 88% 12k $241k (exactly $241,079) Garage51
Crisis Brigade 2 reloaded older $19.99 324 84% 9.7k $194k (exactly $194,303) Sumalab
Ultrawings older $14.99 378 88% 11k $170k (exactly $169,987) Bit Planet Games, LLC
War Tech Fighters older $19.99 228 74% 6.8k $137k (exactly $136,732) Drakkar Dev
Real VR Fishing $19.99 184 73% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) Devs United Games, Inc
Crime Shop Simulator: A Prison Boss Game $19.99 157 85% 4.7k $94k (exactly $94,153) TREBUCHET
DrumBeats VR $14.99 128 65% 3.8k $58k (exactly $57,562) Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Expe… (Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Experiences BV)
Beat the Beats VR $19.99 48 97% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Parallel Circles
IRON GUARD: Salvation $17.99 44 93% 1.3k $24k (exactly $23,747) Xlab Digital
PixelBoss: Shattered Depths · EA $2.99 116 75% 3.5k $10k (exactly $10,405) Quacky Games
RAGER $19.99 16 100% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Insane Prey
Karting4Fun $7.99 25 76% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) LukasH
Ragdoll Playground $9.99 13 69% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Paphnutius
Only Straight and Up! $19.99 3 33% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) AF Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.