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Should I ship an Adventure 6DOF game?
6DOF + Adventure
Of 99 developers who shipped an Adventure 6DOF game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 175 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×462 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 175 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $3.7k (exactly $3,748) |
| Top 5% | $290k (exactly $290,347) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 99 |
| Released games | 393 |
| Announced | 175 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 6DOF, Adventure; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with VR, First-Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 7,700 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 56 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 175 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + TacticalFair
- + RobotsFair
- + WarFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RhythmPoor odds
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu : The Books of Dragon) | older | $17.99 | 9,616 81% | 288k | $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | Metro Awakening | $29.99 | 3,013 73% | 90k | $2.7M (exactly $2,710,796) | Vertigo Games | |
| | Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 | older | $29.99 | 2,258 84% | 68k | $2.0M (exactly $2,031,523) | Vertigo Games |
| | Bootstrap Island | $24.99 | 1,362 81% | 41k | $1.0M (exactly $1,021,091) | Maru VR | |
| | Hubris | older | $29.99 | 819 74% | 25k | $737k (exactly $736,854) | Cyborn B.V. |
| | Arizona Sunshine® VR Remake | $19.99 | 1,203 88% | 36k | $721k (exactly $721,439) | Vertigo Games | |
| | Kayak VR: Mirage | older | $22.99 | 1,006 82% | 30k | $694k (exactly $693,838) | Better Than Life |
| | Red Matter 2 | older | $29.99 | 673 92% | 20k | $605k (exactly $605,498) | Vertical Robot |
| | PANELKI | older | $7.99 | 2,404 86% | 72k | $576k (exactly $576,239) | Alexander Gromyko |
| | Aquanox Deep Descent | older | $29.99 | 463 48% | 14k | $417k (exactly $416,561) | Digital Arrow |
| | Roboquest VR | $29.99 | 395 87% | 12k | $355k (exactly $355,382) | Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios | |
| | I Am Cat | $19.99 | 526 68% | 16k | $315k (exactly $315,442) | NEW FOLDER GAMES | |
| | VR-Kanojo | $54.99 | 176 63% | 5.3k | $290k (exactly $290,347) | ILLUMINATION | |
| | Thief VR: Legacy of Shadow | $19.99 | 340 75% | 10k | $204k (exactly $203,898) | Maze Theory | |
| | Virtual Hunter | $24.99 | 173 71% | 5.2k | $130k (exactly $129,698) | Korpi Games Oy | |
| | Forest Doesn’t Care | $13.99 | 251 65% | 7.5k | $105k (exactly $105,345) | MOROZ GAMES | |
| | Sushi Ben | $11.99 | 261 82% | 7.8k | $94k (exactly $93,882) | Big Brane Studios, Inc. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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