Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike 6DOF game?

6DOF + Action Roguelike

Only 14 developers shipped an Action Roguelike 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VR Sailing, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $73k, ×117 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $836 → $1.5k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $836 (exactly $836)
Top 25% $6.9k (exactly $6,893)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $73,588)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 30
Announced 14
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Action Roguelike; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Physics, Action-Adventure
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with VR, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 8 games average 91% positive over 463 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $840, 1 in 4 over $6.8k, 1 in 20 over $73k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EVERSPACE™ older $19.99 9,809 77% 294k $5.9M (exactly $5,882,457) ROCKFISH Games
Sublevel Zero Redux older $14.99 448 85% 13k $201k (exactly $201,466) Sigtrap
VR Sailing $7.99 307 96% 9.2k $74k (exactly $73,588) HFRK.
Lost Fleet · EA older $19.99 67 61% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) InfinityNan Studios
Titan Isles $24.99 40 95% 1.2k $30k (exactly $29,988) Psytec Games Ltd
Uberlaufer · EA older $10.00 74 83% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,200) Think Tank Decoy Software LLC
Death Horizon: Cyberfusion $7.99 61 67% 1.8k $15k (exactly $14,622) Horizon Lab
SWARM 2 older $24.99 19 73% 570 $14k (exactly $14,244) Greensky Games
Wrath and Retribution $9.99 23 91% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Mad Vulture Games
HexWind $11.99 13 100% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Charm Games
Rogue Piñatas: VRmageddon $24.99 2 0% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) Nerd Ninjas
Slashboy $1.99 14 92% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Punch Game Project
Harvester Arno $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) LAL
Surplus $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Song Jun
Eloquent $49.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chen Min

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.