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Should I ship a 4 Player Local Tactical game?
Tactical + 4 Player Local
Only 17 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Culdcept The First, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $85k, ×136 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 48 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $11,394) |
| Top 5% | $85k (exactly $85,472) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 69 |
| Announced | 48 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- 4 Player Local
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Tactical, 4 Player Local; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Strategy, Co-op
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Comedy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 332 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + 6DOFFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + Farming SimFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
Comparable games
Worms Revolution 2012 · $2.5M 
Wargroove 2019 · $2.4M 
Worms Reloaded 2010 · $2.0M 
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 2024 · $901k 
Tennis Elbow Manager 2 2021 · $182k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Worms Revolution | older | $14.99 | 5,664 86% | 170k | $2.5M (exactly $2,547,101) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
| | Wargroove | older | $19.99 | 4,015 83% | 120k | $2.4M (exactly $2,407,796) | Chucklefish |
| | Worms Reloaded | older | $19.99 | 3,378 86% | 101k | $2.0M (exactly $2,025,787) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
| | WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 | older | $39.99 | 751 79% | 23k | $901k (exactly $900,975) | Winning Streak Games GmbH |
| | Tennis Elbow Manager 2 | older | $29.99 | 202 91% | 6.1k | $182k (exactly $181,739) | Mana Games |
 | Culdcept The First | $29.99 | 95 74% | 2.9k | $85k (exactly $85,472) | CITY CONNECTION | |
 | Tipston Salvage | $16.99 | 80 97% | 2.4k | $41k (exactly $40,776) | Pontus Karlsson | |
 | The Captain is Dead | older | $19.99 | 66 78% | 2.0k | $40k (exactly $39,580) | Thunderbox Entertainment |
 | Jonah Lomu Rugby Challenge 4 | $39.99 | 30 70% | 900 | $36k (exactly $35,991) | Glinda Games | |
 | Ganbare! Super Strikers | older | $9.99 | 85 85% | 2.6k | $25k (exactly $25,474) | rese |
 | Critter Crossfire | $14.99 | 31 90% | 930 | $14k (exactly $13,941) | Evan Polekoff | |
 | Super World War | $19.99 | 19 100% | 570 | $11k (exactly $11,394) | Zero Games Studios | |
 | ChanceBall | $4.99 | 46 100% | 1.4k | $6.9k (exactly $6,886) | Second Tempo Games | |
 | Crypt Crawler | $7.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Wild Domain | |
 | Ninjam! | $8.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | G-Blossom | |
 | Boardquest: Tales of Liria | $11.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Ramezware SL | |
 | Gold Coast Gambits: Boca Raton & Palm Beach | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Backhans Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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