Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Destruction game?

Destruction + 4 Player Local

Only 18 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dino Party, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $20k, ×32 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 43 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 43 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $1.5k → $10k → $1.3k → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,947)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $20,143)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 59
Announced 43
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, 4 Player Local; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Local Co-Op, Co-op
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 231 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Worms Ultimate Mayhem older $14.99 4,303 89% 129k $1.9M (exactly $1,935,059) Team17 Digital Ltd
Rubber Bandits older $9.99 5,628 84% 169k $1.7M (exactly $1,686,712) Flashbulb
GigaBash older $24.99 1,951 94% 59k $1.5M (exactly $1,462,665) Passion Republic Games
DAVIGO: VR vs. PC · EA older $24.99 1,200 84% 36k $900k (exactly $899,640) Davigo Studio
Terror of Hemasaurus older $14.99 766 91% 23k $344k (exactly $344,470) Loren Lemcke
Crumble older $14.99 681 89% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) BRUTE FORCE
Pawperty Damage older $8.99 454 92% 14k $122k (exactly $122,444) Dare Looks
Astro Duel 2 older $19.99 59 100% 1.8k $35k (exactly $35,382) Rusty Moyher
Late For Work older $14.99 78 88% 2.3k $35k (exactly $35,077) Salmi Games
Dino Party $11.99 56 98% 1.7k $20k (exactly $20,143) Studio Nachtwerk
We Could Be Heroes $14.99 42 85% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) CebCode Games
Big Dig Energy $9.99 59 69% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) NuggetSmash
Galactic Thunderdome $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Pansimula
Crafty Racer · EA $14.99 11 100% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Peterclark
Death Metal Derby $14.99 3 100% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Turtle Duck Studio
Neko Neko Rampage $1.99 17 82% 510 $1.0k (exactly $1,015) BitCake Studio
Robots with Guns $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Flash of Stars
Anarkade $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Pixelatom
Goofy Golfette · EA $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) Tiba Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.