Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + 3D Platformer

Only 15 developers shipped a 3D Platformer Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Prison Escape Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $60 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89 → $30 → $1.2k → $0 → $0 → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hero Shooter + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $180 (exactly $180)
Top 5% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 59
Announced 20
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter, 3D Platformer
Price point
$7.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 71% positive over 49 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $180, 1 in 20 over $5.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
OTTTD older $7.99 190 78% 5.7k $46k (exactly $45,543) SMG Studio
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
Desert Special Forces older $19.99 20 65% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Gamesforgames
The Otterman Empire older $15.99 14 71% 420 $6.7k (exactly $6,716) Tri-Heart Interactive
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
Just Skill Shooter 4 $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Skeletos Sword older $8.99 17 82% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) Gamesforfarm
Wild Gun older $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) KIMYS STUDIO
In Search of Freedom $10.99 5 20% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) Pierucci Studios
Shoot The Barrel - BING BANG BOOM · EA older $14.99 3 66% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Shoot The Barrel
出马Spirit Rider $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) 狗狗显卡
3D Raid River $0.99 6 66% 180 $178 (exactly $178) MLB-Miagui
Dungeons Bomb $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MARIOZY
I FORGOT TO TAKE THE CHICKEN OUT OF THE FREEZER $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Yomen Tohmaz
POPOLOGIST® Camera Slinger $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Joe Rey, POPOLOGY® Networks
Space IXI Frontier Wars $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Roberto Joaquin Garay Medrano
Task Code Foolish $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bgame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.