Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Destruction game?

Destruction + 3D Platformer

Of 29 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 61 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 61 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $150 → $1.3k → $748 → $839 → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $523k (exactly $522,644)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 92
Announced 61
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, 3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Score Attack
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 2,659 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $520k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clustertruck older $14.99 14,706 93% 441k $6.6M (exactly $6,613,288) Landfall
Saints Row®: The Third™ Remastered older $29.99 3,968 73% 119k $3.6M (exactly $3,570,010) Deep Silver Volition, Sperasoft
Gori: Cuddly Carnage older $21.99 1,434 96% 43k $946k (exactly $946,010) Angry Demon Studio
Clone Drone in the Hyperdome $19.99 1,048 91% 31k $628k (exactly $628,486) Doborog Games
Last Train Outta' Wormtown $11.99 1,453 96% 44k $523k (exactly $522,644) Get(Color) Games
Crumble older $14.99 681 89% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) BRUTE FORCE
Catlateral Damage older $9.99 1,006 88% 30k $301k (exactly $301,498) Manekoware, Fire Hose Games
Lemma older $14.99 126 80% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) Helvetica Scenario
Diatomic older $9.99 135 76% 4.1k $40k (exactly $40,460) Diatomic Studios
Sebil Engineering older $11.99 82 97% 2.5k $29k (exactly $29,495) FrogStore
SCHROTT: Roguelike Racer · EA $12.99 49 91% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Ivy Juice
Caromble! $12.99 34 73% 1.0k $13k (exactly $13,250) Crimson Owl Studios
The Core · EA $19.99 17 70% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Electric Machine Games
AURORA FLIGHT (オーロラ・フライト) $10.99 17 41% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) すたじおわかる
Unfair Rampage: Knightfall $5.99 14 85% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Imphenzia
Arrows and Antiquity $4.99 16 87% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) True Neutral Studios
The Corruption $9.99 7 71% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Acellular
Super Rolling Heroes Deluxe $10.99 4 50% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) Solid Neon Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.