Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + 3D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Fighter Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + 3D Fighter

Only 14 developers shipped a 3D Fighter Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wild Alone, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + 3D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59 → $838 → $419 → $980 → $60 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + 3D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $419 (exactly $419)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $12,529)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 33
Announced 20
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter, 3D Fighter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 88 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $90, 1 in 4 over $410, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wild Alone $10.99 38 47% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,529) Wild Alone 21
Idol VS Furries older $1.99 64 82% 1.9k $3.8k (exactly $3,821) SeedWall
冬眠(hibernation) older $6.99 16 100% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) 玄机子
Yoshimitsu Hatsumi older $4.99 14 71% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Amvrella
Melon Dusk · EA older $1.99 23 86% 690 $1.4k (exactly $1,373) SeedWall
Combatant older $19.99 2 0% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) GamesBraz
The Memological Dungeon $0.99 33 90% 990 $980 (exactly $980) Gamesforfarm
Forgiveness older $3.99 7 85% 210 $838 (exactly $838) GAZ
The Azmodeus Project older $10.99 2 0% 60 $659 (exactly $659) Phero Games
Haloo $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Ellelel
Kill Them All $6.99 2 50% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Kickback Games
Blitz Haul $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Joseph & Theo van Kraay
Coin Hunter · EA $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Autistic players Studio
Kill the horde $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) XF Games
SolicitorZ $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Beem Studio
Trytka $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Trytka Games
机械傀儡(DollMachine) $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) 小正也要当up

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.