Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer God Game?

God Game + 2D Platformer

Of 24 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $120 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 2050% on the market, 10 announced, ×0.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $0 → $269 → $0 → $59 → $359 → $150 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $987 (exactly $987)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,190)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 59
Announced 10
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2050% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game, 2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 1990's, Hand-drawn
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 136 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $980, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Venture Towns older $8.99 114 75% 3.4k $31k (exactly $30,746) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Go To Hell Must older $5.99 147 91% 4.4k $26k (exactly $26,416) Easy S Studio
VINE older $14.99 40 82% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) FrogParty
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
Soulbound Roguelike $9.99 34 82% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) DuDu Games
Alpha Lyrae Discovery · EA older $10.99 16 87% 480 $5.3k (exactly $5,275) xe2050
Teleport Master $4.99 31 96% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) SinPoDo
Color Souls older $4.99 29 96% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Gorestation
Neon Souls older $4.99 28 96% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Pickles Entertainment
Decline $69.99 1 0% 30 $2.1k (exactly $2,100) 臻新
Isekai x Isekai $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Bubbles
Civilization Survivor $2.99 11 90% 330 $987 (exactly $987) 缘码游戏工作室
开局养成满级修士 $1.99 10 70% 300 $597 (exactly $597) GAO YU
IDLE PET UFO $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) 電脳鈴木組
Bubble's Travel $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) YunheCulture
生计与沉冤 $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) XGame游戏工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.